高盛将美国衰退的可能性提高到25%, 期望美联储降低利率。 Goldman Sachs raises US recession likelihood to 25%, expects Fed to cut interest rates.

高盛经济学家将美国衰退的可能性从15%提高到未来12个月内的25%,同时将风险保持在有限水平。 Goldman Sachs economists increased the US recession likelihood to 25% within the next 12 months from 15%, while maintaining the risk as limited. 美国经济似乎稳定,但美联储准备在必要时迅速降低利率。 The US economy appears stable, but the Federal Reserve is prepared to cut interest rates rapidly if needed. Goldman Sachs预测9月、11月和12月将削减25个基点利率, Goldman Sachs predicts a 25 basis point interest rate cut in September, November, and December, with the possibility of a larger cut if the jobs report remains sluggish.