Goldman Sachs将美国衰退概率降至20%, Goldman Sachs lowers US recession probability to 20% due to positive retail sales and jobless claims data.

高盛经济学家将下一年美国衰退概率从25%降低至20%, Goldman Sachs economists lowered the US recession probability in the next year from 25% to 20% based on positive retail sales and jobless claims data. 他们预测八月一份“合理好”的工作报告 可能会将风险降低到15%。 They forecast a "reasonably good" August jobs report could reduce the risk to 15%. Goldman Sachs预期美联储在9月的会议上会减少25个基点利率, Goldman Sachs expects a 25 basis point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve in their September meeting, but a disappointing jobs report may prompt a 50 basis point cut.