由于就业增长疲软和失业率上升,UBS将美国衰退的可能性提高到25%。 UBS raises US recession likelihood to 25% due to weaker job growth and higher unemployment.

瑞银全球财富管理公司（UBS Global Wealth Management）将美国经济衰退的可能性从20%上调至25%，理由是就业增长疲软和7月份的失业数据。 UBS Global Wealth Management raises US recession likelihood to 25% from 20%, citing weaker job growth and July's unemployment figures. 公司仍期望软着陆,消费者支出用于推动经济增长。 The firm still expects a soft landing, with consumer spending to drive economic growth. 7月,失业率上升至4.3%,对劳动力市场恶化的担忧日益增加。 Unemployment rose to 4.3% in July, increasing concerns for a deteriorating labor market. 这导致9月美联储会议上对削减50基点利率的期望提高。 This has led to heightened expectations for a 50-basis-point rate cut at the September Fed meeting.

August 27, 2024

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