如果特朗普连任，到 2028 年德国 GDP 将下降 1.2%。 German GDP to decrease by 1.2% by 2028 if Trump re-elected.

德国经济研究所(IW)预测，如果美国前总统特朗普重新执政并按提议提高进口关税，到2028年德国GDP将至少下降1.2%。 The German Economic Institute (IW) predicts that if former U.S. President Donald Trump regains office and increases import tariffs as proposed, Germany's GDP would decrease by at least 1.2% by 2028. 这是由于消费者价格上涨和失业率上升导致消费减少和信心冲击。 This is due to higher consumer prices and unemployment leading to decreased consumption and a confidence shock. 该研究是在美国总统初选周期“超级星期二”之前发表的。 The study was published ahead of the U.S. presidential primary cycle's "Super Tuesday."