2029 年全球石油需求达到峰值 1.056 亿桶/日，随后在 2030 年下降，而供应能力则激增至 1.14 亿桶/日 2029 marks the peak of global oil demand at 105.6 million barrels per day, followed by a decline in 2030, while supply capacity surges to 114 million barrels per day

国际能源署（IEA）预测，全球石油需求将在2029年达到峰值1.056亿桶/日，并将在2030年下降。 The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts that global oil demand will peak in 2029 at 105.6 million barrels per day, and is set to decline in 2030. 国际能源署还预测，到2030年，供应能力将激增至近1.14亿桶/日，造成每天800万桶的过剩。 The IEA also predicts that supply capacity will surge to nearly 114 million barrels per day by 2030, creating an 8 million barrels per day surplus. 预计这种过剩将扰乱 OPEC+ 的市场管理，并给美国页岩行业带来挑战。 This surplus is expected to disrupt OPEC+ market management and create challenges for US shale industries.