研究发现,由于过度自信,在预测集团外成员的信仰方面有60%以上不准确。 Study finds over 60% inaccuracy in predicting out-group members' beliefs due to overconfidence.
新的研究表明,人们高估了他们对信仰不同的人,即所谓的“外组”成员的理解。 A new study reveals that people overestimate their understanding of those with differing beliefs, known as "out-group" members. 伦敦国王学院精神病学、心理学和神经科学研究所的研究发现,60%以上的参与者对集团外成员信仰的预测是错误的,尽管他们对预测有信心。 The research, conducted by the Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology, and Neuroscience at King's College London, found that participants were wrong in over 60% of predictions about out-group members' beliefs, despite being confident in their predictions. 这种对理解集团外成员过于自信的做法可能导致负面后果,如贬低他们的生活价值,增加不信任和敌意。 This overconfidence in understanding out-group members can lead to negative consequences, such as devaluing their lives and increased distrust and hostility. 关于预测准确性的反馈表明,有可能增进不同群体之间的了解。 Feedback on the accuracy of predictions has shown potential for improving understanding across different groups.