油价在2026年将保持80-85美元, 可能导致印度经济增长放缓和通货膨胀上升. Oil prices to stay $80-$85 in 2026, risking slower Indian growth and higher inflation.

印度联合银行的一份报告预测2026年原油价格将保持在每桶80至85美元之间, 因全球不确定性而使得降低到70美元的可能性很小. A Union Bank of India report forecasts crude oil prices will stay between $80 and $85 per barrel in 2026, making a drop to $70 unlikely due to global uncertainties. 这种稳定性可能会使印度GDP增长放缓至6.5%左右,并将通货膨胀率保持在27财年4.5%以上. This stability risks slowing India's GDP growth to about 6.5% and keeping inflation above 4.5% in FY27, potentially forcing the Reserve Bank of India to adopt restrictive measures similar to those during the 2013 "Taper Tantrum."