美国经济衰退的可能性为49%, Moody's predicts 49% chance of U.S. recession due to weak data and oil prices.

穆迪的AI模型现在估计美国经济衰退的可能性为49%, 这是多年来最高水平, 因为经济数据疲软和石油价格因伊朗冲突而升. Moody's AI model now estimates a 49% chance of a U.S. recession, its highest level in years, as economic data weakens and oil prices surge due to the Iran conflict. 尽管一些分析师仍然乐观, 但在第二次世界大战以来每次经济衰退之前都超过了历史性的50%的门, 这导致股市大幅下跌. While some analysts remain optimistic, crossing the historical 50% threshold has preceded every recession since World War II, leading to significant stock market declines. 投资者应检查其投资组合的弹性, 因为过去的经济衰退总是会恢复. Investors are advised to review portfolios for resilience, as past downturns have always recovered.