由于需求强和条件良好,澳大利亚的牛肉产量在2026年达到创纪录的290万,但预计到2027年至2028年牛群将下降. Australia’s beef production hits record 2.9 million tonnes in 2026, driven by strong demand and good conditions, but herd decline is expected by 2027–2028.

由于全球需求强,北方条件有利以及屠宰数量高,澳大利亚的牛群预计在2026年将保持稳定约为3000万头,而牛肉产量达到创纪录的290万 - 比2025年增长4%. Australia’s cattle herd is projected to remain stable at around 30 million head in 2026, with beef production reaching a record 2.9 million tonnes—up 4% from 2025—driven by strong global demand, favorable northern conditions, and high slaughter numbers. 尽管53%的雌性屠宰率表明牲畜重组而不是下降, 但最近洪水导致牧场增长改善支持了重新建设. Despite a 53% female slaughter ratio, indicating herd restructuring rather than decline, improved pasture growth from recent flooding supports rebuilding. 预计出口量将达到创纪录的230万,而牛价格则有望略微上升. Exports are forecast to hit a record 2.3 million tonnes, while cattle prices are expected to rise modestly. 然而,由于持续高屠宰率,2027年至2028年期间,该群体预计将开始下降,全球不确定性包括中东冲突可能会扰乱贸易并增加成本. However, the herd is projected to begin declining by 2027–2028 due to sustained high slaughter, and global uncertainties, including the Middle East conflict, could disrupt trade and increase costs.