2025年4月2日开始的美国关税短暂降低了新西兰的通胀率,但由于供应链问题,到2030年可能会提高通胀率。
U.S. tariffs starting April 2, 2025, briefly lowered New Zealand’s inflation but may raise it by 2030 due to supply chain issues.
新西兰储备银行的分析发现,美国从2025年4月2日起提高关税,最初通过加强其货币和降低进口价格,刺激国内需求,降低了新西兰的通货膨胀率。
A Reserve Bank of New Zealand analysis finds that U.S. tariff increases starting April 2, 2025, initially lowered inflation in New Zealand by strengthening its currency and reducing import prices, boosting domestic demand.
虽然出口增长减弱,但对国内生产总值的总体影响不大。
While export growth weakened, the overall impact on GDP was modest.
随着时间的推移,预计到2030年供应链中断将提高进口成本和通货膨胀。
Over time, supply chain disruptions are projected to raise import costs and inflation by 2030.
这项研究以全球贸易模式和主要国际机构提供的数据为基础,也注意到金融市场的不断变化以及报复性贸易措施造成的持续不确定性。
The study, based on global trade models and data from major international institutions, also notes shifting financial markets and ongoing uncertainty from retaliatory trade measures.