美国情报机构发现,尽管美国和以色列发动袭击,但伊朗政府仍然稳定,没有崩溃或领导层崩溃的迹象。 U.S. intelligence finds Iran’s government stable despite U.S. and Israeli strikes, with no signs of collapse or leadership breakdown.

美国的情报评估显示,尽管美国和以色列加紧空袭近两周,伊朗政府仍保持稳定,不会面临崩溃的风险。 U.S. intelligence assessments indicate Iran’s government remains stable and is not at risk of collapse despite nearly two weeks of intensified U.S. and Israeli airstrikes. 2月28日最高领袖阿亚图拉·哈梅内伊遇刺后,包括伊斯兰革命卫队和临时领导层在内的主要领导结构继续运作,没有受到重大干扰。 Key leadership structures, including the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and interim leadership following the February 28 assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei, continue to function without significant disruption. 虽然攻击破坏了军事和基础设施目标,但它们并没有破坏伊朗的核心权威、指挥系统或区域影响。 While attacks have damaged military and infrastructure targets, they have not undermined Iran’s core authority, command systems, or regional influence. 官员们强调政权的韧性，并未注意到大规模动荡、领导层分裂或失控的迹象。 Officials stress the regime’s resilience and note no evidence of widespread unrest, leadership fractures, or loss of control. 但目前的情报并未预见伊朗政治结构会发生近期变化。 The situation remains fluid, but current intelligence does not foresee a near-term shift in Iran’s political structure.