Graham Platner在缅因民主初选中领先, 但投票间隔因设计效果而不太可靠,
Graham Platner leads in Maine’s Democratic primary, but polling margins are less reliable due to design effects, making his lead uncertain.
格雷厄姆·普拉特纳在缅因州民主党初选中领先,并在大选中领先参议员苏珊·柯林斯,但专家警告称,民调误差幅度因设计效应而被夸大,尤其是对独立选民等子群体,使得领先优势不如报道中确定。
Graham Platner is leading in Maine’s Democratic primary and polling ahead of Sen. Susan Collins in the general election, but experts warn that polling margins of error are inflated by design effects, especially for subgroups like independents, making leads less certain than reported.
虽然普拉特纳在民主民主党主要选民中的力量仍然很明显,但实际的比值可能要窄得多,甚至会逆转,这凸显出对早期投票进行谨慎解释的必要性。
While Platner’s strength among Democratic primary voters remains clear, the actual margin could be much narrower or even reversed, highlighting the need for cautious interpretation of early polls.