Kalshi在美国空袭后对伊朗领导人的赌注中冻结了540美元, Kalshi froze $54M in bets on Iran’s leader after a U.S. airstrike, citing ethical concerns and ambiguous terms, sparking backlash and calls for regulation.

2026年3月, 预测市场平台卡尔希(Kalshi)冻结了5400万美元赌注, 赌注伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊(Ali Khamenei)在美国空袭后“退出”领袖地位, In March 2026, Kalshi, a prediction market platform, froze $54 million in bets on Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei being “out” as leader after his death in a U.S. airstrike, stating its markets do not settle on death and that “out” referred to a peaceful transition, not assassination. 尽管最初的付款被标记为成功,但该公司扭转了方向,以含糊不清的信息和伦理问题为由,将偿还用户在澄清之前从贸易中造成的损失。 Despite initial payouts being marked as successful, the company reversed course, citing ambiguous messaging and ethical concerns, and will refund users’ losses from trades made before a clarification. 包括Sen. Chris Murphy(Chris Murphy)。 Chris Murphy称这种做法在道德上令人不安, 并提议立法禁止这种赌博, 尤其是禁止政府行动。 The move sparked backlash from users and lawmakers, including Sen. Chris Murphy, who called the practice ethically troubling and is proposing legislation to ban such betting, especially on government actions. 这一事件加强了对涉及地缘政治暴力的预测市场道德和透明度的检查。 The incident has intensified scrutiny over the ethics and transparency of prediction markets involving geopolitical violence.