Kalshi在美国空袭后对伊朗领导人的赌注中冻结了54M美元, Kalshi froze $54M in bets on Iran's leader after a U.S. airstrike, citing ethical concerns and ambiguous wording, sparking backlash and calls for regulation.

2026年3月, 预测市场平台卡尔希(Kalshi)冻结了伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊(Ayatollah Ali Khamenei)五千四百万赌注, 尽管据报他在一次美国空袭中死亡。 In March 2026, Kalshi, a prediction market platform, froze $54 million in bets on Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s removal, despite his reported death in a U.S. airstrike. 该公司表示不以死亡为赌注结算，澄清“出局”指的是和平过渡，而非暗杀。 The company stated it does not settle bets on death, clarifying that "out" referred to a peaceful transition, not assassination. 虽然用户最初认为他们的赌注被标为赢家,但Kalshi以模棱两可的措辞和道德问题为由推翻了付款办法,并将退还交易费。 Though users initially saw their bets marked as winners, Kalshi reversed payouts, citing ambiguous wording and ethical concerns, and will refund trading fees. 这一举动引发了对误导性的促销和透明度的反弹,批评者称其为道德问题,立法者则推动立法禁止这种赌博。 The move sparked backlash over misleading promotion and transparency, with critics calling it ethically problematic and lawmakers pushing for legislation to ban such betting.