欧盟的庇护申请在2025年下降了20%,但伊朗的不稳定使得人们担心会出现严重的难民危机。 EU asylum applications dropped 20% in 2025, but Iran's instability raises fears of a major refugee crisis.

向欧洲联盟提出的庇护申请在2025年下降了近20%,原因是叙利亚人、孟加拉国人和土耳其人提出的庇护申请较少,尽管阿富汗人和委内瑞拉人仍然是申请最多的群体。 Asylum applications to the European Union fell by nearly 20% in 2025, driven by fewer claims from Syrians, Bangladeshis, and Turks, though Afghans and Venezuelans remained top applicant groups. 尽管情况有所下降,但欧盟庇护机构警告说,以抗议、核紧张和最近军事打击为标志的伊朗不稳定可能引发 " 前所未有的规模 " 的难民流动,甚至其9000万人口中的10%流离失所可能与重大危机相匹配。 Despite the decline, the EU Agency for Asylum warned that instability in Iran—marked by protests, nuclear tensions, and recent military strikes—could trigger refugee movements of "unprecedented magnitude," with even a 10% displacement of its 90 million population potentially rivaling major crises. 伊朗接纳了250万难民,但只有8 000名伊朗国民在欧盟+区域申请庇护,排在第31位。 Iran, which hosts 2.5 million refugees, saw only 8,000 of its nationals apply for asylum in the EU+ region, ranking 31st. 欧盟正在加强与国际伙伴的监测与合作,准备通过即将进行的庇护改革应对潜在的激增,同时告诫不要因为局势变化不定而作出预测。 The EU is enhancing monitoring and cooperation with international partners, preparing for potential surges through upcoming asylum reforms, while cautioning against predictions due to the fluid situation.