南非债务在17年后稳定下来,预计到2026/27年,由于税收增加和借贷成本降低,该比率将降至77.3%。 South Africa’s debt stabilizes after 17 years, with ratio expected to drop to 77.3% by 2026/27 due to higher tax revenues and lower borrowing costs.

南非债务17年来首次趋于稳定,债务与GDP之比在2025年达到78.9%的峰值,而预计到2026/27年将下降到77.3%,而2026/27年则是在税收增加和偿债成本降低的推动下。 South Africa’s debt is stabilizing for the first time in 17 years, with the debt-to-GDP ratio peaking at 78.9% in 2025 before projected declines to 77.3% by 2026/27, driven by stronger tax revenues and lower debt-service costs. 由于收税情况有所改善,政府将资金转用于基础设施和公共服务,因此政府取消了计划增加的20亿雷亚尔的税收。 The government scrapped a planned R20-billion tax increase due to improved collections, redirecting funds to infrastructure and public services. 一个新的以原则为主导的财政支柱将指导长期财政纪律,而没有严格的数字目标。 A new principles-led fiscal anchor will guide long-term fiscal discipline without strict numerical targets. 预计2026年经济增长为1.6%,辅之以商品价格上升和信贷升级,而到2028年,用于打击犯罪的安全支出将增至2 910亿兰特。 Economic growth is projected at 1.6% in 2026, supported by rising commodity prices and credit upgrades, while security spending will rise to R291 billion by 2028 to combat crime.