自2025年以来,中国对日本采取的强硬行动起反作用,加强了区域联盟,促使人们呼吁保持外交克制。 China's hardline actions toward Japan since 2025 have backfired, strengthening regional alliances and prompting calls for diplomatic restraint.

2026年的一篇题为“日本前进”的报告将中国最近对日本的政策称为“战略错误 ” , 引述了自2025年后期以来从有节制的竞争转向持续胁迫的转变。 A 2026 report titled "Japan Forward" labels China’s recent policy toward Japan a "strategic blunder," citing a shift from managed rivalry to sustained coercion since late 2025. 它指出,2025年,中国海岸警卫队每天在有争议的尖阁群岛附近活动356天,言词强硬,拒绝危机管理,对日本公司施加经济压力。 It notes over 356 days of daily Chinese coast guard activity near the disputed Senkaku Islands in 2025, hardened rhetoric, rejection of crisis management, and economic pressure on Japanese firms. 报告认为,这一方法产生了反作用,加深了东亚和东南亚的区域安全联系,误认为日本是美国代理人而非独立行为者,助长了对中国行为的反对,而不是对中国权力的反对。 The report argues this approach has backfired, deepening regional security ties across East and Southeast Asia, misreading Japan as a U.S. proxy rather than an independent actor, and fueling opposition to China’s conduct rather than its power. 它敦促朝向克制、可预测性和相互竞争共存的方向迈进。 It urges a move toward restraint, predictability, and competitive coexistence.