英国失业率到2026年底将达到5.5%, UK unemployment to hit 5.5% by late 2026, driven by tax hikes, wage increases, and automation.

预计到2026年春末,英国失业率将上升到5.5%,超过流行病高峰,原因是2024年秋季预算提高了25bn英镑的全国保险,最低工资上升,以及自动化和AI的压力。 UK unemployment is projected to rise to 5.5% by late spring 2026, exceeding the pandemic peak, driven by the 2024 Autumn Budget’s £25bn national insurance hike, rising minimum wages, and pressures from automation and AI. 就业损失集中在零售和招待方面,许多公司雇用人员停滞不前,并计划减少劳动力。 Job losses are concentrated in retail and hospitality, with hiring stagnating and workforce reductions planned by many firms. 青年失业率达到16.1%,是10多年来最高的。 Youth unemployment hit 16.1%, the highest in over a decade. 经济学家期望英格兰银行在6月前削减利率,可能三次,以抵消劳动条件的削弱和通货膨胀的下降。 Economists expect the Bank of England to cut interest rates by June, potentially three times, to counter weakening labor conditions and falling inflation.