Gilgit-Baltistan(Feb 1-22, 2026)异常温暖的气温加速雪和冰川融化,冰川湖越发爆发,下游的洪水风险越大。 Unusually warm temperatures in Gilgit-Baltistan (Feb 1–22, 2026) accelerated snow and glacier melt, increasing glacial lake outburst flood risks downstream.

吉尔吉特-巴尔蒂斯坦从2026年2月1日至22日的异常高温,白天高温高于正常水平35°C,夜间低温低于平均水平13.5°C,加速了雪和冰川的融化,特别是在中低海拔地区. Unusually warm temperatures in Gilgit-Baltistan from February 1–22, 2026, with daytime highs 3–5°C above normal and nighttime lows 1–3.5°C above average, have accelerated snow and glacier melt, particularly at mid to lower elevations. 降水量减少,天空晴朗,限制了夜间冷却,融水流入冰川湖泊的量增加,加之Gilgit、Hunza、Bunji、Chilas和Astore等下游地区冰川湖爆发洪水的风险增加。 Reduced rainfall and clear skies limited overnight cooling, increasing meltwater runoff into glacial lakes and raising the risk of glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) in downstream areas including Gilgit, Hunza, Bunji, Chilas, and Astore. 巴基斯坦气象局警告说,预计到2026年4月温度将高于正常水平,这增加了全球治理与治理论坛的风险,并密切监测各种条件,及时发布咨询意见。 The Pakistan Meteorological Department warns that above-normal temperatures are expected through April 2026, heightening GLOF risks, and is monitoring conditions closely to issue timely advisories.