SNP领导民意测验,准备赢得73个Hollyrood席位中的72个,英国改革第二,劳工第三。
SNP leads poll, poised to win 72 of 73 Holyrood seats, with Reform UK second, Labour third.
More in Common于2026年1月30日至2月10日进行的新民调显示,苏格兰民族党以33%的选区投票率领先,在地区名单中获得31%,有望赢得73个席位中的72个——仅差多数。
A new poll by More in Common, conducted January 30 to February 10, 2026, shows the SNP leading with 33% in constituency voting and 31% on the regional list, on track to win 72 of 73 Holyrood seats—just short of a majority.
尽管可能没有赢得选区席位,但联合王国的改革预计将成为拥有17个MSP的第二大政党,而劳工党则在16个MSP。
Reform UK is projected to become the second-largest party with 17 MSPs, despite likely winning no constituency seats, while Labour trails at 16 MSPs.
苏格兰保守派预计将下降到12个MSP,而自由民主党则下降到11个。
The Scottish Conservatives are expected to drop to 12 MSPs, and the LibDems to 11.
结果反映出选民分散,许多席位由狭窄的边际决定,对公共服务和税收越来越不满意。
The results reflect a fragmented electorate, with many seats decided by narrow margins, and growing dissatisfaction with public services and taxation.