澳大利亚经济在2026年1月放缓,由于情绪和住房核准力减弱,增长接近趋势,尽管劳动力市场的实力支持了2.5%的国内生产总值预测。 Australia's economy slowed in January 2026, with growth near trend due to weaker sentiment and housing approvals, though labor market strength supports a 2.5% GDP forecast.

澳大利亚的经济势头在2026年1月放缓,西帕克—梅伯恩研究所领先指数从12月的0.44%下降到年均增长率0.02%,这表明了近乎趋势的增长而不是扩张。 Australia’s economic momentum slowed in January 2026, with the Westpac–Melbourne Institute Leading Index dropping to a 0.02% annualized growth rate from 0.44% in December, signaling near-trend growth rather than expansion. 下降的驱动因素是消费者情绪减弱和住房核准率下降,而初级商品价格上涨则提供部分支持,尽管澳大利亚坚挺的美元可能会限制收益。 The decline was driven by weaker consumer sentiment and falling housing approvals, while higher commodity prices provided partial support, though a strong Australian dollar may limit gains. Westpac将其2026年国内生产总值增长率预测维持在2.5%,以具有弹性的劳动力市场为例,并期望澳大利亚储备银行在3月维持利率,但根据通货膨胀数据,5月可能提高25个基点。 Westpac maintains its 2026 GDP growth forecast at 2.5%, citing a resilient labor market, and expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to hold rates in March but may raise them by 25 basis points in May, depending on inflation data.