新西兰的目标是到2028/29年实现预算盈余,并实行支出上限和改革,尽管面临债务和人口挑战。 New Zealand aims for budget surplus by 2028/29 with spending cap and reforms, despite debt and demographic challenges.

新西兰政府正在注重财政纪律,以确保长期经济稳定,目标是到2028/29年恢复到营业盈余,并将核心国债净值降至国内生产总值的40%。 New Zealand’s government is focusing on fiscal discipline to ensure long-term economic stability, aiming to return to an operating surplus by 2028/29 and reduce net core Crown debt to 40% of GDP. 2026年预算年度支出上限为24亿美元,要求所有支出都有正当理由,每年节余110亿美元。 A $2.4 billion annual spending cap in Budget 2026 requires all expenditures to be justified, supported by $11 billion in annual savings. 2025年上半年财政业绩改善,赤字比预测减少22%,反映出支出低于预期,收入增加不多。 Improved fiscal performance in the first half of 2025, with a 22% smaller deficit than forecast, reflects lower-than-expected spending and modest revenue gains. 预计2026年经济将增长3.3%,其动力是出口强劲、商业信心提高和按揭利率下降,而失业率预计将降至5%以下。 The economy is projected to grow at 3.3% in 2026, driven by strong exports, rising business confidence, and falling mortgage rates, while unemployment is expected to fall below 5%. 尽管还本付息费用高昂和人口压力不断带来挑战,但政府强调进行改革,减少繁琐手续,提高生产力,并支持农业技术和先进制造业的创新。 Despite ongoing challenges from high debt-servicing costs and demographic pressures, the government emphasizes reforms to cut red tape, boost productivity, and support innovation in agritech and advanced manufacturing.