北约的战争游戏显示,由于联盟协调失败和美国犹豫不决,俄罗斯对立陶宛发动的混合攻击可能取得成功。 A NATO wargame showed a Russian hybrid attack on Lithuania could succeed due to alliance coordination failures and U.S. hesitation.

北约高层的战争游戏模拟了2026年俄罗斯入侵立陶宛,表明迅速的混合攻击——利用虚假的人道主义借口和先发制人的无人机排雷——可能迅速破坏联盟的稳定。 A high-level NATO wargame simulating a 2026 Russian incursion into Lithuania revealed that a swift, hybrid attack—using a false humanitarian pretext and pre-emptive drone-mining—could rapidly destabilize the alliance. 尽管俄罗斯向前推进了15000支部队,但美国拒绝援引第5条,德国犹豫不决地进行干预,波兰动员起来,但没有越过布雷边界,暴露出关键的协调差距。 Despite a 15,000-troop Russian advance, the U.S. declined to invoke Article 5, Germany hesitated to intervene, and Poland mobilized but did not cross the mined border, exposing critical coordination gaps. 这次模拟活动有来自北约和德国的前官员参加,突显了西方所感觉到的犹豫不决和缺乏明确的美国领导人如何能够使俄罗斯取得有限但决定性的胜利,突出了对联盟准备状态、决策速度和面对迅速变化的混合威胁的战略清晰性的关切。 The simulation, involving former officials from NATO and Germany, highlighted how perceived Western hesitation and lack of clear U.S. leadership could enable a limited but decisive Russian victory, underscoring concerns over alliance readiness, decision-making speed, and strategic clarity in the face of fast-moving hybrid threats.