由于印度购买量和制裁减少造成的石油收入下降,俄罗斯2026年预算赤字可能增加近三倍。 Russia’s 2026 budget deficit may nearly triple due to falling oil revenues from reduced Indian purchases and sanctions.

俄罗斯的预算赤字到2026年底可能增加近三倍,达到GDP的3.54.4%,原因是印度购买量减少、西方持续制裁和俄罗斯原油大幅减价导致石油收入急剧下降。 Russia’s budget deficit could nearly triple by year-end 2026, reaching 3.5%–4.4% of GDP, due to a sharp drop in oil revenues driven by reduced Indian purchases, persistent Western sanctions, and steep discounts on Russian crude. 能源收入在1月份下降到3 933亿卢布,为2020年以来的最低水平,而预算收入总额预计比计划低6%。 Energy income fell to 393.3 billion roubles in January—the lowest since 2020—while total budget revenues are projected 6% below plan. 更坚固的卢布和全球石油价格不断下跌,进一步侵蚀了以美元计价的税收收入。 A stronger rouble and declining global oil prices further eroded dollar-denominated tax income. 尽管财政储备为4.1万亿卢布,分析家警告说,这些储备可能在一年内枯竭。 Despite 4.1 trillion roubles in fiscal reserves, analysts warn they may be depleted within a year. 欧洲联盟正在准备第20个一揽子制裁计划,可能针对吉尔吉斯斯坦规避可疑制裁,并扩大对俄罗斯石油出口、金融部门和两用货物的限制。 The European Union is preparing its 20th sanctions package, potentially targeting Kyrgyzstan over suspected sanctions evasion and expanding restrictions on Russia’s oil exports, financial sector, and dual-use goods.