Goldman Sachs将印度2026年GDP增长预测提高到6.9%, Goldman Sachs raised India's 2026 GDP growth forecast to 6.9% after a U.S.-India trade deal cut tariffs from 25% to 18%.

美国高盛在美国与印度达成贸易协议后,将其2026年印度GDP增长预测提高到6.9%,该协议将美国对印度商品的相互关税从25%降至18%. Goldman Sachs raised its 2026 India GDP growth forecast to 6.9% following a U.S.-India trade deal that reduced American reciprocal tariffs on Indian goods from 25% to 18%. 银行估计,由于出口竞争力的提高和贸易政策不确定性的减少,这一变化将每年使国内生产总值提高约0.2%。 The bank estimates the change will boost GDP by about 0.2 percentage points annually, driven by improved export competitiveness and reduced trade-policy uncertainty. 预计该协议将支持私人资本支出的复苏,将印度的经常账户赤字缩小到GDP的0.8%,并通过改善资本流入来帮助稳定卢比。 The agreement is expected to support a recovery in private capital expenditure, narrow India’s current account deficit to 0.8% of GDP, and help stabilize the rupee through improved capital inflows. 新的关税率使印度与其他主要亚洲经济体保持一致。 The new tariff rate aligns India with other major Asian economies.