圭亚那的石油产出在2025年猛增到875 000桶,但由于低价格和有利于ExxonMbil的利润分享结构,收入降至2.4B。
Guyana’s oil output surged to 875,000 bpd in 2025, but revenues fell to $2.4B due to low prices and a profit-sharing structure favoring ExxonMobil.
圭亚那的石油产量在2025年每天达到87.5万桶,但由于全球价格下跌,石油收入降至24亿美元,平均每桶69美元。
Guyana's oil production hit 875,000 barrels per day in 2025, yet oil revenues fell to $2.4 billion due to lower global prices averaging $69 per barrel.
根据2016年生产分担协议,圭亚那的实际份额仍在12.5%左右,因为埃克森美在利分担前收回高达75%的成本,尽管产量增加,但政府收益受到限制.
Under the 2016 Production Sharing Agreement, Guyana’s effective share remains capped near 12.5% because ExxonMobil recoups up to 75% of costs before profit sharing, limiting government gains despite rising output.
自然资源基金现在价值35亿美元,如果按阿拉斯加的模式管理,可以产生可观的长期红利和预算支助,但目前的支出有可能带来通货膨胀和购买力的削弱。
The Natural Resource Fund, now worth $3.5 billion, could generate significant long-term dividends and budget support if managed like Alaska’s model, but current spending risks inflation and eroding purchasing power.
专家警告说,如果不限制成本、发行债券和转向生产性投资,石油财富可能以牺牲持久繁荣为代价推动短期增长。
Experts warn that without ring-fencing costs, issuing bonds, and shifting to productive investments, oil wealth may fuel short-term growth at the expense of lasting prosperity.