伊朗的不稳定性随着动乱的兴起和外部势力的干预而增加。 Iran’s instability grows as unrest mounts and outside forces may intervene.

至2026年1月30日, 伊朗的未来仍不确定, As of January 30, 2026, Iran’s future remains uncertain amid rising internal unrest and regional tensions. 前摩萨德官员Sima Shine在NPR上说,中央情报局和摩萨德等情报机构继续使用人力和技术手段监测伊朗,即使在互联网停电期间也是如此。 Former Mossad official Sima Shine, speaking on NPR, said intelligence agencies like the CIA and Mossad continue monitoring Iran using human and technical means, even during internet blackouts. 她指出,该政权控制信息的努力是无效的,有可能增加国际压力。 She noted that the regime’s attempts to control information are ineffective, potentially increasing international pressure. 伊朗的领导层太固执, 无法在没有外来力量的情况下改变, 可能导致军事干预。 Shine now believes Iran’s leadership is too entrenched to change without outside force, possibly leading to military intervention. 她还与个人一样,对持续冲突给孙子孙女造成的心理伤害感到关切,因为孙子孙女对日常声音反应恐惧。 She also shared personal concerns about the psychological toll of ongoing conflict on her grandchildren, who react fearfully to everyday sounds.