一个民族领导联盟在农村的初级选票上领先,但劳工党在总理批准率低和移民关注度高的情况下拥有两党领导地位。 One Nation leads Coalition in rural primary votes, but Labor holds two-party lead amid low PM approval and high immigration concern.

2026年初,根据多个联邦民意调查,在联盟之前,一个民族在初选支持中跃升至第二位,劳动党占30-31%。 In early 2026, One Nation surged to second place in primary vote support, ahead of the Coalition, according to multiple federal polls, with Labor leading at 30–31%. 一个国家在农村地区获得的收益最大,这表明保守的农村席位发生了变化。 One Nation’s gains were strongest in rural areas, signaling a shift in conservative rural seats. 尽管如此,由于来自联盟和绿党的强烈偏好,劳动党仍然在两党首选投票中居于领先地位。 Despite this, Labor maintained a lead in two-party preferred voting due to strong preference flows from the Coalition and Greens. 总理安东尼·阿尔巴内斯(Anthony Albanese)的认可率降至14比16, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s approval dropped to -14 to -16, with many citing poor handling of the Bondi incident. 移民仍然是一个最令人关切的问题,有64%的人希望降低移民人数。 Immigration remains a top concern, with 64% wanting reduced levels.