台湾经济在2025年12月过热, 受到AI需求、强劲出口和美国关税削减的推动, 预计2026年的增长率超过4%。 Taiwan's economy overheated in Dec 2025, fueled by AI demand, strong exports, and U.S. tariff cuts, with 2026 growth forecast above 4%.

2025年12月,台湾经济进入了“过热”阶段,其综合指数上升到38个,是一年中最高的,其驱动因素是全球对AI产品的强劲需求、强劲的出口以及商业情绪的改善。 Taiwan’s economy entered an "overheating" phase in December 2025, with its composite index rising to 38—the highest in a year—driven by strong global demand for AI products, robust exports, and improved business sentiment. 在出口订单和股价不断上涨的支持下,第五个直接月的主要指标指数上升至103.36。 The leading indicators index climbed to 103.36 for the fifth straight month, supported by rising export orders and stock prices. 尽管零售和食品服务下降,但美国对台湾商品的关税从20%降至15%,增强了信心。 Despite declines in retail and food services, the U.S. reduction of tariffs on Taiwanese goods from 20% to 15% boosted confidence. 分析家预测2026年的增长率超过4%,以AI繁荣和投资者前景的改善为例。 Analysts forecast growth above 4% in 2026, citing the AI boom and improved investor outlook.