在2B ICE投资和监管进展的驱动下,2026年产量超过Kalshi的47%是垄断市场领先的预测市场。 Polymarket leads prediction markets with a 47% chance of surpassing Kalshi in 2026 volume, driven by a $2B ICE investment and regulatory progress.

截至2026年1月26日,Polymarket以47%的机会领先预测市场竞争,在2026年交易量超过Kalshi,受ICE20亿美元投资和监管进展的推动,包括美国重新进入CFTC的近乎确定的批准. As of January 26, 2026, Polymarket leads the prediction market race with a 47% chance of surpassing Kalshi in 2026 trading volume, fueled by a $2 billion ICE investment and regulatory progress including a near-certain CFTC approval for U.S. re-entry. Kalshi在体育运动中占有强势地位,但垄断市场支配着地缘政治和经济等非体育市场,2025年的产量为334亿美元,而Kalshi的431亿美元则全部来自体育。 While Kalshi holds strong in sports, Polymarket dominates non-sports markets like geopolitics and economics, with $33.4 billion in 2025 volume versus Kalshi’s $43.1 billion, all from sports. 预测市场现在价值440亿美元,每日交易额为8.14亿美元,日益被视为风险管理和真相定价的准确工具,得到机构的支持,并被纳入Robinhood和Top Kings等平台。 Prediction markets, now valued at $44 billion with $814 million in daily trading, are increasingly seen as accurate tools for risk management and truth pricing, backed by institutions and integrated into platforms like Robinhood and DraftKings.