新西兰经济在2026年初出现反弹,商业信心、制造业和增长预测不断提高,通胀和失业减缓。 New Zealand’s economy rebounded in early 2026 with rising business confidence, manufacturing, and growth forecasts, easing inflation and unemployment.

新西兰经济在2026年初出现了复苏的迹象,商业信心和制造业活动在投资和雇用计划不断增长的推动下达到4.5年的最高水平。 New Zealand’s economy showed signs of recovery in early 2026, with business confidence and manufacturing activity reaching a 4.5-year high, driven by rising investment and hiring plans. 自2021年以来,利润预期首次提高,预计到年底通货膨胀率将降至近2%,有助于降低“差价指数”。 Profitability expectations improved for the first time since 2021, and inflation is projected to ease to near 2% by year-end, helping lower the "misery index." 预计2026年国内生产总值增长率为2.5%,高于2025年的每季0.4%,尽管人均产出仍低于人口规模前的水平。 GDP growth is forecast at 2.5% for 2026, up from 0.4% per quarter in 2025, though per-capita output remains below pre-pandemic levels. 失业率在2025年底达到5.3%的峰值,在2026年下半年可能开始下降。 Unemployment, which peaked at 5.3% in late 2025, may begin to decline in the second half of 2026. 尽管存在全球不确定性,金融市场仍然保持稳定,对利率或汇率没有持久影响。 Financial markets stayed stable despite global uncertainties, with no lasting impact on interest rates or exchange rates.