印尼经济在2026年初面临不稳定, 增长率低于5%、财政风险、化肥项目失败, Indonesia’s economy faces instability in early 2026, with growth below 5%, fiscal risks, and a failed fertilizer project raising governance and environmental concerns.

2026年初的印度尼西亚经济面临日益严重的不稳定,增长率预计低于5%,国家收入下降,财政风险增加。 Indonesia’s economy in early 2026 faces mounting instability, with growth projected below 5 percent, declining state revenues, and rising fiscal risks. 由于外汇管制更加严格,卢比正受到压力,而投资者从政府债券转向公司股票威胁到长期融资。 The rupiah is under pressure due to tighter foreign exchange controls, while investor shifts from government bonds to corporate stocks threaten long-term financing. 即将到来的国际收支危机和高信用降级风险凸显出政策改革的紧迫性。 A looming balance-of-payments crisis and high credit downgrade risk underscore the urgency for policy reforms. 同时,在最高审计机构审计发现巴布亚Fakfak化肥工业区项目可能损失2.96万亿卢比后,该项目被认为不可行。 Meanwhile, the Fakfak Fertilizer Industrial Zone project in Papua was deemed unfeasible after a Supreme Audit Agency audit revealed potential state losses of Rp2.96 trillion. 迁至Tomage引起了环境问题,包括泥炭地的破坏。 The relocation to Tomage raises environmental concerns, including peatland destruction. 总统普拉博沃的行政当局面临对治理、军事扩张计划的监督,尽管洪水严重,但灾害宣布仍被推迟。 President Prabowo’s administration faces scrutiny over governance, military expansion plans, and delayed disaster declarations despite severe flooding. 在政治和经济挑战面前,独立新闻业仍然至关重要。 Independent journalism remains vital amid political and economic challenges.