年轻美国人正在辞去在预测市场打赌的工作,通过从选举到流行文化的预测事件获得巨大收入。 Young Americans are quitting jobs to bet on prediction markets, earning big by forecasting events from elections to pop culture.

越来越多的美国人,包括25岁的Logan Sudeith, 将传统工作留给Kalshi和Polymarket等预测市场进行贸易, A growing number of Americans, including 25-year-old Logan Sudeith, are leaving traditional jobs to trade on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, betting on events from elections to pop culture trends. Sudeith要求每月赚取100 000美元,对从获奖者到政治声明等各种结果进行高额赌注,每周花费最多100小时。 Sudeith claims to earn $100,000 monthly by placing high-stakes bets on outcomes ranging from award winners to political statements, spending up to 100 hours weekly. 支持者说这些市场比民意调查更准确地汇总公众意见, Advocates say these markets aggregate public opinion more accurately than polls, offering real-time insights used by major media outlets like CNN and the Wall Street Journal. 然而,批评者却把他们比作赌博场,指出他们依靠市场制造者来获得流动资金,并对监管、风险和道德影响表示关切。 Critics, however, liken them to gambling sites, noting they rely on market makers for liquidity and raise concerns about regulation, risk, and ethical implications. 该行业的快速增长反映出向分散的、数据驱动的关于全球事件的投机的转变。 The industry’s rapid growth reflects a shift toward decentralized, data-driven speculation on global events.