S&P 500在2026年1月上升了近2%,这是历史上一个积极的迹象,但1月的收益并不是年度业绩的可靠预测。 The S&P 500 rose nearly 2% in January 2026, a historically positive sign, but January gains are not a reliable predictor of annual performance.

2026年初,S&P 500在1月份上升了近2%,这是历史上与年绩效提高相联系的积极迹象,尽管相关性不大。 In early 2026, the S&P 500 rose nearly 2% in January, a positive sign historically linked to stronger annual performance, though the correlation is only moderate. 虽然1月份的强劲收益往往是在好年头之前取得的,但过去的数据显示,这个月不是一个可靠的预测因素,因为有些年来,强劲的开端以损失而告终,而许多微弱的开端仍然有收益。 While strong January gains have often preceded good years, past data shows the month is not a reliable predictor, as some years with strong starts ended in losses and many with weak starts still posted gains. 建议投资者考虑更广泛的经济和公司基本面,而不是仅仅依靠1月的表现。 Investors are advised to consider broader economic and corporate fundamentals rather than relying solely on January’s performance.