2025年,由于严格的移民执法,美国50年来首次出现负净移民。
U.S. had negative net migration in 2025 for first time in 50 years due to strict immigration enforcement.
根据布鲁金斯学会的一份报告,美国在至少50年中首次记录到2025年的负净移民,其驱动因素是,由于加强移民执法、暂停大多数难民方案以及减少临时签证,新抵达者人数急剧下降。
The U.S. recorded negative net migration in 2025 for the first time in at least 50 years, according to a Brookings Institution report, driven by a sharp drop in new arrivals due to tightened immigration enforcement, suspension of most refugee programs, and reduced temporary visas.
报告估计净移徙人数在295 000至10 000人之间,总清除量为310 000至315 000人——略高于2024年——主要是美国海关和边境保护局从国内发起的。
The report estimates net migration between -295,000 and -10,000, with removals totaling 310,000 to 315,000—slightly up from 2024—mostly initiated by U.S. Customs and Border Protection from within the country.
预计这一趋势将在2026年继续下去,由《一个大美人法案法》供资推动,有可能扩大执行范围。
The trend is projected to continue in 2026, fueled by funding from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, potentially expanding enforcement.
经济学家警告说,就业、国内生产总值和消费支出将下降,预测两年内支出将下降600亿至1 100亿美元,尤其影响到依赖移民的企业。
Economists warn of declining employment, GDP, and consumer spending, with a projected $60 billion to $110 billion drop in spending over two years, especially affecting immigrant-dependent businesses.