卢旺达部队和 " 3·23 " 运动在布隆迪边境附近夺取乌维拉,引发政治动荡,加深区域危机。 Rwandan forces and M23 seized Uvira near Burundi’s border, triggering political turmoil and deepening regional crises.

2026年初,在卢旺达部队和 " 3·23 " 运动民兵占领离边界仅5公里的乌维拉之后,布隆迪面临不断升级的区域不稳定,这标志着支持刚果民主共和国的布隆迪部队在军事上遭受重大挫折。 In early 2026, Burundi faces escalating regional instability after Rwandan forces and the M23 militia captured Uvira, just five kilometers from its border, marking a major military setback for Burundian troops supporting the Democratic Republic of Congo. 失败引发了内部政治紧张,恩达伊希米耶总统谴责其外交部长。 The defeat triggered internal political tension, with President Ndayishimiye reprimanding his Foreign Minister. 与此同时,联合国专家确认卢旺达和“3·23”运动正在刚果民主共和国东部建立行政和安全结构,有效地取代国家职能。 Meanwhile, UN experts confirmed Rwanda and M23 are establishing administrative and security structures in eastern DRC, effectively replacing state functions. 尽管美国和卡塔尔作出了调解努力,但没有具有约束力的协定,人道主义危机在加深。 Despite U.S. and Qatari mediation efforts, no binding agreements exist, and the humanitarian crisis deepens. 在萨赫勒地区,尼日尔宣布在圣战暴力不断升级的情况下进行全国动员,与布基纳法索一道作出大规模军事反应。 In the Sahel, Niger declared national mobilization amid rising jihadist violence, joining Burkina Faso in a sweeping military response. 苏丹的战争现在更具社区性和复杂性,它继续摧毁平民和基础设施,没有明确的和平道路。 Sudan’s war, now more communal and complex, continues to devastate civilians and infrastructure, with no clear peace path. 埃塞俄比亚的军事制约限制了其对厄立特里亚采取行动的能力,而卢旺达则保持强劲的经济增长,通过预算外手段为刚果东部的行动提供资金,平衡区域影响和财政稳定。 Ethiopia’s military constraints limit its ability to act against Eritrea, while Rwanda maintains strong economic growth and funds its eastern Congo operations through off-budget means, balancing regional influence with fiscal stability.