泰国经济在2025年12月增长,但强劲的铢和不断下降的出口引起了2026年的关切。 Thailand's economy grew in December 2025, but a strong baht and falling exports raise concerns for 2026.

泰国制造业部门在2025年12月扩大,由于国内需求强劲和新订单达到十年之高,泰国的制造业部门增加到57.4,尽管出口订单连续第五个月下跌。 Thailand’s manufacturing sector expanded in December 2025, with the PMI rising to 57.4, driven by strong domestic demand and new orders at a ten-year high, though export orders fell for the fifth straight month. 旅游业仍然强劲,游客人数众多,但由于每美元31.4-31.8泰铢较强,对价格敏感的旅行者的支出正在冷却。 Tourism remains robust with high visitor numbers, but spending is cooling among price-sensitive travelers due to a stronger baht, which hit 31.4–31.8 per dollar. 以旅游收入、外国投资和黄金交易为燃料的货币拉动促使泰国银行收紧前方管制,特别是对大宗黄金交易的控制,以防止过热。 The currency’s rally, fueled by tourism receipts, foreign investment, and gold trading, has prompted the Bank of Thailand to tighten forex controls, especially on large gold transactions, to prevent overheating. 分析家预测,由于政治不确定性和经济风险,包括预计的通货紧缩,泰铢在2026年初可能会被削弱至32.1。 Analysts forecast the baht may weaken to 32.1 in early 2026 amid political uncertainty and economic risks, including projected deflation.