全球煤炭使用量在2025年创下创纪录,但随着中国转向可再生能源,预计长期下降。
Global coal use hits record in 2025, but long-term decline expected as China shifts to renewables.
全球煤炭使用量在2025年将达到创纪录的88.45亿吨,其驱动力是美国由于亲煤政策而使煤炭生产量上升了3 700万吨,但随着中国在可再生能源和核增长的推动下,到2027年将煤炭需求削减到48.79亿吨,到2030年将削减到47.72亿吨,预计将长期下降。
Global coal use is set to reach a record 8.845 billion tonnes in 2025, driven by a 37 million tonne rise in the U.S. due to pro-coal policies, but long-term decline is expected as China cuts coal demand to 4.879 billion tonnes by 2027 and 4.772 billion by 2030, fueled by renewable and nuclear growth.
尽管一些地区的煤炭需求暂时增加,但国际能源机构预计到2030年全球煤炭需求将稳定下来,略有下降,而中国的转变是首要因素。
Despite temporary increases in some regions, the IEA projects a plateau and slight decline in global coal demand by 2030, with China’s shift being the primary factor.