中国正在迅速扩大核弹头生产,引起区域和全球安全关切。 China is rapidly expanding nuclear warhead production, raising regional and global security concerns.

中国正在迅速扩大核弹头生产,卫星图像和专家分析揭示了自2019年以来四川和津东设施的重大升级,包括与钚坑和高爆炸成分制造有关的场址的新建和扩建安全设施。 China is rapidly expanding its nuclear warhead production, with satellite imagery and expert analysis revealing major upgrades to facilities in Sichuan and Zitong since 2019, including new construction and expanded security at sites linked to plutonium pit and high-explosive component manufacturing. 这些事态发展是更广泛的基础设施建设的一部分,表明将战略转向更大程度的核准备状态,其中可能包括预警发射态势。 These developments, part of a broader infrastructure buildup, suggest a strategic shift toward greater nuclear readiness, potentially including a launch-on-warning posture. 虽然中国的武库仍然远远小于美国的库存,但专家预测,在地区紧张加剧的情况下,特别是在台湾问题上,到2030年,中国的武库有可能扩大到数千枚弹头。 While China’s arsenal remains far smaller than the U.S. stockpile, experts project a possible expansion to several thousand warheads by 2030 amid rising regional tensions, particularly over Taiwan. 现代化的步伐引起了对全球战略稳定和潜在长期军备竞赛的关切,尽管确切的生产数量和时间表仍然不明确。 The pace of modernization raises concerns about global strategic stability and a potential long-term arms race, though exact production numbers and timelines remain unclear.