联合王国气象局预测,2026年的升温将可能超过1.4摄氏度,从而继续保持由排放和碳汇减缩驱动的创纪录热量趋势。 The UK Met Office predicts 2026 will likely exceed 1.4°C of warming, continuing a trend of record heat driven by emissions and weakened carbon sinks.

联合王国气象局预测,2026年全球气温可能超过工业化前水平的1.4°C,是高于这一临界值的第四年,中央估计温度为1.46°C。 The UK Met Office forecasts that 2026 will likely see global temperatures exceed 1.4°C above pre-industrial levels, marking the fourth straight year above that threshold, with a central estimate of 1.46°C. 2024年是创纪录的最热年,比工业化前的平均水平高出1.55°C,2025年达到1.48°C。 This follows 2024, the hottest year on record at 1.55°C above pre-industrial averages, and 2025, which reached 1.48°C. 尽管厄尔尼诺现象和拉尼娜现象不断变化,但温室气体排放量上升和碳汇被削弱,继续推动气候变暖。 Despite shifting El Niño and La Niña conditions, rising greenhouse gas emissions and weakened carbon sinks continue to drive warming. 科学家警告说,每年一再违反1.4°C增加的暂时超过《巴黎协定》1.5°C限值的风险,尽管持续减排仍有可能实现长期目标。 Scientists warn repeated annual breaches of 1.4°C increase risks of temporarily exceeding the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit, though long-term goals remain possible with sustained emissions cuts.