美联储的最新削减利率是合适的,预计2026年通货膨胀率将达到2.5%,2027年通货膨胀率将达到2%,按纽约美联储的威廉斯计算。
The Fed's latest rate cut was fitting, with inflation expected to reach 2.5% in 2026 and 2% by 2027, per New York Fed's Williams.
纽约美联储总统威廉姆斯(John Williams)说,美联储最近的四分之一点利率削减是恰当的,定位政策几乎是中立的,因为通胀风险会缓解,劳动力市场的冷却会持续,不会突然失业。
New York Fed President John Williams said the Fed’s recent quarter-point rate cut was appropriate, positioning policy near neutral as inflation risks ease and labor market cooling continues without sudden job losses.
他预计2026年通货膨胀率将达到2.5%,到2027年达到2%的目标,这是由临时关税效应驱动的,预计2026年国内生产总值增长率为2.25%。
He expects inflation to reach 2.5% in 2026 and the 2% target by 2027, driven by temporary tariff effects, with 2026 GDP growth projected at 2.25%.
威廉斯强调以数据为依存的办法,1月份的预期汇率没有变动,同时注意到稳定的财政条件和较高的市场估值。
Williams emphasized a data-dependent approach, with no expected rate move in January, while noting stable financial conditions and elevated market valuations.