新西兰的经济发展势头随着强劲的零售销售、建筑业和制造业的兴起而增强,从而增加了对国内生产总值反弹的希望。 New Zealand’s economy gains momentum with strong retail sales, rising construction, and manufacturing, boosting hopes for a GDP rebound.

新西兰经济展现出逐步复苏的势头，第三季度零售销售增长1.9%，创近四年最大增幅，主要得益于利率下降、初级产业收入强劲和旅游业复苏。 New Zealand’s economy shows broadening recovery momentum, with third-quarter retail sales up 1.9%—the largest gain in nearly four years—driven by lower interest rates, strong primary sector income, and rebounding tourism. 11月的贺卡支出增长了7.7%, 建筑协议从4月的低位跳出了24%, 制造业PMI达到51.4, 表示扩张。 Card spending rose 7.7% in November, building consents jumped 24% from April’s low, and manufacturing PMI reached 51.4, signaling expansion. 这些趋势支持了每季国内生产总值增加0.9%的预期,有可能结束18个月的年收缩。 These trends support expectations of a 0.9% quarterly GDP rise, potentially ending 18 months of annual contraction. 然而,自5月以来,全球奶制品价格下降22%,威胁到农民的收入,而向澳大利亚移民可能会限制人口增长。 However, a 22% drop in global dairy prices since May threatens farmer income, and migration to Australia may limit population growth. 虽然增长正在改善,但风险仍然存在,分析家预测,到2026年底,年增长率将恢复到2-3%。 While growth is improving, risks remain, with analysts projecting a return to 2-3% annual growth by late 2026.