由于投资、消费疲软和关税上涨,IMF将菲律宾2025年的增长预测降低到5.1%。 IMF lowers Philippines' 2025 growth forecast to 5.1% due to weak investment, consumption, and rising tariffs.

国际货币基金组织(IMF)将菲律宾2025年的增长率预测从5.4%降至5.4%的5.1%,预计2026年的增长率为5.6%,指出由投资疲软、私人消费下降和全球关税上升驱动的第三季度经济减速比预期的要快。 The International Monetary Fund has revised down the Philippines' 2025 growth forecast to 5.1% from 5.4%, with 2026 growth projected at 5.6%, citing a sharper-than-expected third-quarter slowdown driven by weaker investment, declining private consumption, and rising global tariffs. 预计2026年通货膨胀将上升至2.8%,虽然中央银行自2024年8月以来将利率削减200个基点,但通货膨胀风险和比索疲软带来的制约将进一步缓解。 Inflation is expected to rise to 2.8% in 2026, and while the central bank has cut rates by 200 basis points since August 2024, further easing faces constraints from inflation risks and a weakening peso. 分析家警告说,没有反腐败改革和改善公共财政管理,单靠货币政策无法恢复投资者的信心或实现持续增长。 Analysts warn that without anti-corruption reforms and improved public financial management, monetary policy alone cannot restore investor confidence or achieve sustained growth.