新西兰经济正从2024年的衰退中反弹,预计2026年的增长率超过2.5%。 New Zealand’s economy is rebounding from a 2024 recession, with growth projected at over 2.5% in 2026.

新西兰经济正从2024年衰退中复苏,ASB预测2026年增长超过2.5%。 New Zealand’s economy is recovering from a 2024 recession, with ASB forecasting over 2.5% growth in 2026. 在美国关税豁免的帮助下,低利率、不断上升的消费支出(特别是在大票项目上)和具有弹性的出口正在推动势头。 Lower interest rates, rising consumer spending—especially on big-ticket items—and resilient exports, aided by U.S. tariff exemptions, are driving momentum. 住房市场略有改善,预计到2026年中期通货膨胀率将降至2%,失业率为5.3%,在2027年之前可能不会降至5%以下。 The housing market shows modest improvement, inflation is expected to ease to 2% by mid-2026, and unemployment, at 5.3%, may not fall below 5% until 2027. 尽管许多家庭目前财政拮据,但商业情绪依然积极,官方现金利率预计到2026年将保持在2.25%的水平。 Despite ongoing financial strain for many households, business sentiment remains positive, and the official cash rate is projected to stay at 2.25% through 2026.