新西兰联合政府因内部分裂而面临不稳定,尽管它仍有可能在强有力的投票支持下结束任期。 New Zealand’s coalition government faces instability due to internal divisions, though it remains likely to finish its term with strong polling support.

2025年11月,由于总理克里斯托弗·卢克森(Christopher Luxon)联合政府内部日益紧张,新西兰的政治稳定恶化,全球的BMI公司的政治风险得分提高到18.3。 New Zealand’s political stability has deteriorated, with global firm BMI raising its political risk score to 18.3 in November 2025 due to growing strain within Prime Minister Christopher Luxon’s coalition government. 《管制标准法》和《条约》辩论等政策的内部分歧加剧了不稳定,尽管海事局期望联盟完成其任期。 Internal divisions over policies like the Regulatory Standards Act and Treaty debates have fueled instability, though BMI expects the coalition to complete its term. 2025年12月8日,1News Verian民意调查显示,右翼联盟保持强支持,国民党占36%,ACT占10%,新西兰第一占9%,而工党占35%,绿党下降至7%. A December 8, 2025, 1News Verian poll shows the right-wing coalition maintaining strong support, with National at 36%, ACT at 10%, and New Zealand First at 9%, while Labour gained to 35% and the Greens dropped to 7%. Te Pāti毛利人仍然占1%。 Te Pāti Māori remains at 1%. 预计该联盟将拥有67个席位，反对派为58席，卢克森在首相偏好排名中领先。 The coalition is projected to hold 67 seats versus the opposition’s 58, with Luxon leading in preferred PM rankings. 尽管左翼支持不断下降,但目前新自由主义政策没有可行的替代办法。 Despite declining left-wing support, no viable alternative to current neoliberal policies has emerged.