美国债务接近GDP的100%,由于社会保障和医疗保险到2034年面临破产,因此面临严重紧缩的风险。 U.S. debt nears 100% of GDP, risking severe austerity as Social Security and Medicare face insolvency by 2034.

前白宫经济学家杰弗里·弗兰克尔(Jeffrey Frankel)认为,严重的财政危机很可能迫使美国采取严厉的紧缩措施,因为公共债务接近GDP的100%,预计到2029年将达到107%。 A severe fiscal crisis is likely to force drastic U.S. austerity measures, according to former White House economist Jeffrey Frankel, as public debt nears 100% of GDP and is projected to hit 107% by 2029. 没有像增长、通货膨胀或违约等可行的可持续解决方案,政治僵局阻碍改革,削减国防开支或非国防开支可能变得不可避免。 With no viable sustainable solutions like growth, inflation, or default, and political gridlock blocking reform, cuts to defense or non-defense spending may become unavoidable. 牛津经济学警告到2034年社会保障和医疗保险破产可能会引发市场动荡,推动国会采取行动——虽然拖延会使未来的调整更加极端。 Oxford Economics warns Social Security and Medicare insolvency by 2034 could trigger market turmoil, pushing Congress to act—though delay will make future adjustments more extreme.