由于强劲增长、低失业率以及受全球趋势驱动的长期高利率,澳大利亚中央银行可能不会再次削减利率。
Australia’s central bank likely won’t cut rates again due to strong growth, low unemployment, and lasting higher interest rates driven by global trends.
澳大利亚中央银行不可能恢复到极低的利率,因为澳大利亚经济强劲,失业率为4.3%,通货膨胀压力不断上升,限制了进一步降低利率。
Australia’s central bank is unlikely to return to ultra-low interest rates, as a strong economy with 4.3% unemployment and rising inflation pressures limit further rate cuts.
全球趋势——包括增加绿色能源、国防和包租方面的投资,加上人口老龄化和债务增加——正在提高中性利率。
Global trends—including increased investment in green energy, defense, and on-shoring, along with aging populations and higher debt—are pushing up the neutral interest rate.
这些长期变化表明,未来利率仍将高于以往周期,这意味着借款人应预期在可预见的将来借贷成本会上升,除非发生重大经济危机。
These long-term shifts suggest future rates will remain higher than in past cycles, meaning borrowers should expect elevated borrowing costs for the foreseeable future unless a major economic crisis occurs.