2026年,美国经济放缓,原因是关税、不确定性和就业增长疲软,通货膨胀率达到3.5%的顶峰,失业率上升到4.5%。 U.S. economic slowdown through 2026 driven by tariffs, uncertainty, and weak job growth, with inflation peaking at 3.5% and unemployment rising to 4.5%.

由于关税、政策不确定性和劳动力市场疲软,预计美国经济在2026年初将放缓,通货膨胀率将达到3.5%,失业率将上升到4.5%。 The U.S. economy is projected to slow through early 2026 due to tariffs, policy uncertainty, and a weakening labor market, with inflation peaking at 3.5% and unemployment rising to 4.5%. 尽管AI投资超过4 050亿美元和财政刺激,但就业增长仍然疲软,特别是在加利福尼亚州,高科技部门依靠美国近70%的创业资金蓬勃发展,但建筑业、零售业和招待业却挣扎不休。 Despite strong AI investment exceeding $405 billion and fiscal stimulus, job growth remains weak, especially in California, where high-tech sectors thrive on nearly 70% of U.S. venture funding, but construction, retail, and hospitality struggle. 加利福尼亚州的失业率预测在2025-2026年达到5.5%,达到5.9%的峰值,预计2027年居住许可将增加。 California’s unemployment is forecast at 5.5% in 2025–2026, peaking at 5.9%, with residential permits expected to rise in 2027. 在财政和货币支持延迟的情况下,这两个经济体在2026-2027年都将出现回升。 Both economies are set to rebound in 2026–2027 amid delayed fiscal and monetary support.