塑料生产量预计到2040年将猛增,排放量和污染将恶化,但系统性变化可大幅降低影响。 Plastic production is set to surge by 2040, worsening emissions and pollution, but systemic changes could drastically reduce impacts.

预计到2040年全球塑料生产将急剧增长,有可能使该行业成为世界第三大温室气体排放源。 Global plastic production is projected to rise sharply by 2040, potentially making the industry the world’s third-largest greenhouse gas emitter. Pew报告警告说,塑料污染每年可能达到2.8亿公吨,有害化学品与癌症、生育问题和慢性病有关。 The Pew report warns that plastic pollution could reach 280 million metric tons annually, with harmful chemicals linked to cancer, fertility issues, and chronic diseases. 尽管回收成功有限,但系统性变化,如减少生产、扩大再利用和改善废物管理,可以减少污染83%,减少排放38%,到2040年减少健康风险54%,每年使政府节省190亿美元。 Despite limited recycling success, systemic changes like reducing production, expanding reuse, and improving waste management could cut pollution by 83%, emissions by 38%, and health risks by 54% by 2040, saving governments $19 billion yearly.