一项重大的气候研究由于数据错误而撤回,预计到2050年全球收入损失将降低至17%,但证实气候变化仍然威胁着经济,特别是低收入国家。 A major climate study's retraction due to data errors lowers projected global income loss by 2050 to 17%, yet confirms climate change still threatens economies, especially low-income nations.

关于气候变化的经济影响的2024年研究报告最初在《自然》上发表,并被全球政策广泛引用,由于数据错误,特别是1995年至1999年乌兹别克斯坦的经济数据错误,以及低估了不确定性,该研究报告被撤回。 A 2024 study on climate change’s economic impact, originally published in Nature and widely cited in global policy, has been retracted due to data errors, particularly in Uzbekistan’s economic data from 1995 to 1999, and underestimation of uncertainty. 德国波茨坦研究所(Potsdam Institute)的研究人员订正了到2050年全球收入损失估计数,从19%降至17%,并将气候损害成本超过复原力投资的概率从99%降至91%。 Researchers from Germany’s Potsdam Institute revised their estimate of global income loss by 2050 from 19% to 17% and reduced the probability that climate damage costs will exceed resilience investments from 99% to 91%. 尽管进行了调整,核心调查结果仍然是:不加遏制的气候变化将严重损害全球经济,低收入国家首当其冲。 Despite the adjustments, the core finding remains: unchecked climate change will severely harm the global economy, with low-income nations bearing the brunt. 专家们确认,气候风险已经在增加成本,如美国的家庭保险费,并强调需要采取紧急行动。 Experts confirm that climate risks are already increasing costs, such as U.S. home insurance premiums, and underscore the need for urgent action. 经修订的研究结果尚未经过同行审查。 The revised findings are not yet peer-reviewed.