波利马克特准确预测特朗普在2024年获胜, 投注额达36亿美元, 超过民意调查. Polymarket accurately predicted Trump’s 2024 win with $3.6B in bets, outperforming polls.

由Shayne Coplan(Shayne Coplan)于2020年创立的基于加密的预测市场(polymarket)准确预测唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)在2024年的总统大选中获胜, Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market founded by Shayne Coplan in 2020, accurately forecasted Donald Trump’s 2024 presidential victory with $3.6 billion in wagers, outperforming traditional polls. 该平台使用实时赌注来汇总全球事件方面的公众智慧, 在纽约证券交易所母公司投资20亿美元和小唐纳德·特朗普增资1 000万美元后, 现价值90亿美元。 The platform uses real-time betting to aggregate public wisdom on global events, now valued at $9 billion after a $2 billion investment from the NYSE’s parent company and a $10 million boost from Donald Trump Jr. 尽管过去存在监管障碍,包括联邦公平贸易委员会罚款140万美元,但最近的政策转变导致调查被撤销。 Despite past regulatory hurdles, including a $1.4 million CFTC fine, recent policy shifts led to dropped investigations. 由于数以千万计的人投下约10,000个积极的赌注,多边市场的目标是帮助10亿用户,提供免费、免费的预测,以扩大以数据驱动的预测。 With tens of millions engaging in around 10,000 active bets, Polymarket aims to reach one billion users, offering free, fee-free predictions to expand access to data-driven forecasting.